Politics
This is a document that was apparently written by Mutahi Ngunyi with the assistance of a few other people. It details how the Jubilee government plans to sideline Ruto if they win the elections.
In developing this strategy we borrowed highly on
premises of the 7 point minimum scenario (Tyranny of numbers) that
assures our candidate of first round win in the coming March 4th
Election.
However the win comes at a price which MUST be contained through a
well-designed strategy to ensure that despite the requirements of the
new constitution we still manage to wrestle the power from other sources
and retain it within our sphere of control.
Our current challenge is to devise a strategy that would tackle the following areas;
a) Manage an executive number 2 in power- the constitution provides for an executive number 2.
b) Manage the 50:50 sharing of government – in getting the numbers for
top up we signed an agreement for power sharing which may not be
realistic once we settle down into the business of running the
government.
It must also be pointed out that our current number 2 is a very
abrasive and ambitious person who will want a lot of say in the running
of the government affairs and we risk having two parallel centres of
power.
We must also remember that Kibaki was able to manage this transition
very well with RAO once he took over power and despite the hue and cry
he managed to still take a stab on second term successfully.
The Number 2 Factor
Our current number 2 can be described as a very smart politician who has
used his position to both endear himself to his people and accumulate
wealth for himself. He is equally abrasive and very ambitious and would
want to play a major role in the running and decisions of the
government. From his character we anticipate that in the first six
months we should expect some cold war between him and UK since he is
known to always want his way and does not believe in being managed or
lead.
Secondly a number of things that have been agreed upon are not realistic
and may render our man powerless and reduce him to a figure head.
His weakness?
Every strong personality brings on the table a number of weakness that we will need to exploit at point namely;
1. In getting to his current position the man has rubbed everyone the
wrong away and he therefore will have very little sympathy from the
mainstream leaders. Just a sneak preview on this tells you that; Raila,
Kalonzo, Wamalwa, Mudavadi will all be baying for his blood on the night
of the long sword. We can also count of some of these people to prop up
the government when the time comes (Kibaki did it very well).
2. Corruption: the man has a number of corruption cases including
fraudulently acquiring land in various parts of the country. Some of
these cases are still active in court and will come in handy at the
appropriate time.
The deep sea approach
In 2011 when Obama administration took on Osama Bin Laden they took on
the deep sea approach by entering the airspace of Pakistan through the
sea and disposing of the body in the deep sea to ensure that it leaves
minimum disruptions in its wake.
Our approach must equally take the same angle through;
I. Land cases: fast track land cases facing number 2 using The
Judiciary. This plot will create the fastest trap for finding number 2
culpable then he will be forced to step down and in accordance with
chapter six of the constitution. It is then important to identify a
friendlier and weaker candidate without a strong ethnic base and the
person who fits this bill is Balala. In propping him up he will also
bring on board a sizable Muslim block that will effectively counter the
number 2′s block.
II. Exploit his weakness: as pointed out earlier number 2, in getting
to current position, created a number of powerful enemies and the most
opportune time to exploit this weakness is when things settle and its
time to form the government. The plan is to use his enemies to shoot
down all his nominees in return for a few government appointments.
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