The top decision-making
organs on national defence are scheduled to meet on Tuesday and next week to
discuss the retirement of the Chief of the Kenya Defence Forces, Gen Julius
Waweru Karangi.
Gen
Karangi is expected to retire at the end of April and President Uhuru Kenyatta
has indicated that he will not interfere with the military’s succession plan.
The President is also the Commander in Chief of the Armed Forces.
There
has been speculation that Gen Karangi could be named to a new position of
National Security Advisor expected to be created soon.
In
countries such as the US, the National Security Advisor is a senior position
and the holder attends Cabinet meetings.
Service
commanders are expected to meet on Tuesday to prepare the way for the National
Security Committee meeting next week.
The
final decision over who will succeed Gen Karangi is expected to be communicated
during a meeting of the National Security Council, which is chaired by
President Kenyatta.
ROTATIONAL
SYSTEM
Among
the top generals who are likely to be considered to succeed Gen Karangi are the
Vice Chief of the Defence Forces, Lt-Gen Samson Mwathethe of the Navy, the Army
Commander, Lt-Gen Joseph Kasaon and the Commandant of the National Defence
College, Lt Gen J N Waweru.
Under
the rotational system between the three services — the Army, Air Force and Navy
— Lt Gen Mwathethe is next in line because the last two chiefs have been from
the Army and the Air Force respectively.
However,
there are those who argue that since the country is at war, with the military
engaged in hunting down Al-Shabaab in Somalia and helping to stabilise the
neighbouring country under Amisom, the Army should take over the leadership
because its forces have been playing a leading role in the operation.
This
is where Lt-Gen Kasaon, the Army commander comes in as the most senior officer.
Gen
Waweru, the commandant, National Defence College in Karen, is being mentioned
as another possible candidate for the post.
The
Air Force pilot is a respected officer but his elevation would mean that
another Air Force man will take over the top military job as Gen Karangi is
also from the Air Force.
Others
mentioned as possible successors are the Navy Commander, Maj-Gen Ngewa Mukala,
and the Air Force Commander, Maj-Gen Samuel Thuita. However, these are
considered peripheral candidates for the job.
Gen
Karangi has been at the helm for four years, and going by a statement by
Defence Cabinet Secretary Raychelle Omamo, he should be at the end of his four
decades in the Armed Forces.
According
to the statement issued last year, a KDF chief should serve a term of four
years or attain the age of 64, whichever comes first, a reinforcement of the
Tonje rules.
The
succession will be determined when the Defence Council next meets to consider
promotions and transfers since those who hit their ranks’ retirement age before
then would be allowed to retire.
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